The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment
Global Warming Research, Development, and Educational Materials on
Anthropologic Climate Change and Pollution

Experiments, Footnotes, Citations and Proof (2001 to Present)

"We are not saying that the Earth's temperature is just going to rise. In general, as energy is added to a system, the fluctuations in the system increase. So, we expect more storms, more droughts, more wildfires, more floods, more fluctuations of all kinds. What we are saying is that weather conditions will become more volatile due to the impact of humans," said Mukherjee and Brouse. (2004)

The increase in extreme weather events wreak havoc on humans' ability to adapt to the changing environment. For instance, severe droughts followed by severe rains create devastating floods. The parched earth can not absorb the water. The run-off produces contaminated flood waters that pollute the drinking water supply and breed diseases. The extreme weather events in the United States have overburdened FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency) and jeopardized flood insurance.

Feedback loops accelerate global warming. For example, global warming has resulted in tree deaths and deforestation. Trees are a natural carbon sink for carbon dioxide, as well as, provide shade, retain moisture, and aid in cooling. As trees die from the effects of global warming, climate change is accelerated resulting in more tree deaths. Scientists' warning to humanity on tree extinctions, "This evidence suggests that a third of the world's tree species are currently threatened with extinction, which represents a major ecological crisis. Large-scale extinction of tree species will lead to major biodiversity losses in other species groups and substantially alter the cycling of carbon, water and nutrients in the world's ecosystems. Loss of tree diversity could lead to abrupt declines in ecosystem functions and services, and ultimately ecosystem collapse."

Now the question is can we adapt in time?

The answer is "probably not."

The author of research published in the journal Nature Climate Change said, "we're not going to be able to adapt to climate change."

"And once we have destabilized these ice sheets, there will be no stable coastline for centuries. I repeat: There will be no stable coastline for centuries. I apologize to the children," said Sidd Mukherjee in the paper Longthaw.

Research published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences reports, "by 2070, around 2 billion people are expected to live in extremely hot areas" similar to the Sahara Desert.

The study Greatly Enhanced Risk to Humans From Heat Stress found the world's population will experience -- for the first time in human history -- prolonged exposures to uncompensable extreme moist heat. Humans will struggle to adapt to these conditions in a warmer world as they will present widespread challenges across many aspects of food-energy-water security, human health, and economic development.

"Time is no longer running out to act on climate change; it's up," reports Deloitte.

Dr. William Colgan said, "A collapse of the colossal east Antarctic ice sheet, which would lead to a 52-metre rise in sea levels if it all melted, could be averted if rapid climate action is taken."

Monitored populations of vertebrates (mammals, birds, amphibians, reptiles and fish) have already seen a devastating 69% drop. Many scientists believe we are living through the sixth mass extinction, and that it is being driven by humans. "Despite the science, the catastrophic projections, the impassioned speeches and promises, the burning forests, submerged countries, record temperatures and displaced millions, world leaders continue to sit back and watch our world burn in front of our eyes," said Tanya Steele, chief executive at WWF-UK. "The climate and nature crises, their fates entwined, are not some faraway threat our grandchildren will solve with still-to-be-discovered technology."

Air and water are the two most basic needs for human survival. Fresh air and fresh water are becoming scarce natural resources. Air pollution is now the leading cause of death and contributor to illness. Fresh water is being threatened by a decreasing supply of potable water, as well as, salt water intrusion due to the rising sea level.

Droughts, floods, and other extreme weather events threaten food security. Not only does food insecurity increase human suffering, famine, and death, it is also a leading cause of social instability and war.

There is a rapid increase in the number of deaths and ailments attributed to climate change. For humans that can survive the effects, they must migrate. The ever increasing numbers of immigrants are known as climate change refugees. (2015)

What now?
From 2016-2022, this section was dedicated to hope and optimism; however, 2021 was a record year for greenhouse gas emissions. Then in 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine creating a global energy security crisis. Most countries chose to increase greenhouse gas emissions even further. Therefore, there is little to no hope. Currently, we have crossed the tipping point when human induced climate change triggers a chain reaction of feedback loops. In 2022, the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) insisted there is "no credible pathway to 1.5℃ in place."

The Earth will exceed 1.5℃ (average global surface temperature over the surface of the earth for ten years) by the 2040's and a societal collapse will ensue. For the most part, the Earth will be uninhabitable for humans by 2070 UNLESS immediate action is taken. UPDATE: Since writing this in 2021, there is enough data to conclude 1.5℃ will be breached a decade earlier. In October 2023, the Imperial College of London published a study that concludes 1.5℃ will be reached by 2030 at our current rate of emissions. The average temperature for 2023 was +1.4℃ with September's average +1.7℃ and parts of July at +3℃.

What will create the change needed?
Litigation against oil companies and governments: The oil industry is going to be like the tobacco industry. The consumers claim they were misled about the dangers of burning fossil fuels and file lawsuits against the oil companies. As litigation drags on, you will not be able to buy oil or get insurance at a reasonable price (similar to what happened to cigarette smokers.) At the same time, children are litigating with their governments for their basic human rights. In Montana, children won the case of Held v. Montana over the "right to a clean and healthful environment."

How long would it take to go 100% green?
It depends on cooperation. If we all cooperated, we could change over within 6 months. However, we don't expect the climate deniers will cooperate. In the meantime, many countries plan to reduce fossil fuels by 2030. Some countries, such as China, are building nuclear plants. The UK will transition from natural gas to green hydrogen with most of the regulations in place by 2030.

The key to how fast the US transitions is in the cost to ourselves (since we don't seem to care about the rest of the world.) This can already be seen in Florida and Louisiana where almost all of the homeowners/hazard insurance companies have pulled out. FEMA is a good place to focus our forecasts. FEMA's flood insurance is the only government subsidized insurance available to everybody. When the government stops subsidizing extreme weather events -- Managed Retreat, you will see an instant turnover to 100% green. The intensity and frequency of extreme weather events is growing exponentially; therefore, we expect FEMA will be bankrupted in short order. At that time, much of US real estate will become worthless and the cost of burning fossil fuels will be deemed too costly. The people impacted by financial and life losses will litigate the fossil fuel industry out-of-business.

2022
During 2022 consumers demanded more greenhouse gas emissions than ever. CO2 emissions rose to a new all-time high of 36.8 Gt. Methane levels in the atmosphere reached more than two and a half times their pre-industrial level.

2023
In the spring of 2023, the USA suspended their national debt ceiling. Included in the debt ceiling suspension is a provision for unlimited emergency federal spending. The result is the government can continue to ignore the causes of climate change and instead give trillion-dollar subsidies to the fossil fuel industry through emergency disaster relief. Yes, another vicious circle -- more fossil fuels subsidies result in more climate catastrophes resulting in more fossil fuel subsidies, etc. The end result will be additional trillions in government borrowing while the standard of living declines.

In April, the World Meteorological Organization explaining the disappearance of the glaciers said, "This is serious." I asked, "Could this result in the fastest rise in sea levels ever?" Sidd Mukherjee replied, "Mmmm... how long is 'ever'?"

In June of 2023, we were discussing animal agriculture, carbon offsets and sequestration, planting trees, and greenwashing. I asked, "Is it a mistake for us to even suggest staying under 1.5℃ is a possibility?" Sidd replied, "1.5℃ is in the rear-view mirror these days."

During the first week of July 2023, the Earth had the hottest days ever averaging 17℃. So, I investigated Climate Change: How Long Is "Ever"?. The answer: humans have never lived with an average temperature of 17℃. You are one of the first to try to stay alive. Extreme weather will become more frequent and intense. Sea levels will rapidly rise as the coasts disappear. However, the most concerning development will be feedback loops and tipping points. Plants will become extinct and many carbon sinks will vanish. The Earth’s temperature will continue to accelerate no matter what humans do. Food, fresh water, and breathable air will cease to exist. Humans will likely follow in short order.

At what rate is climate change accelerating? A: Rapidly. The "doubling period" of some anthropogenic climate affects has gone from 100 years to 10 years. For instance the rate of sea level rise has gone from about 1.5 millimeters per year to over 3 millimeters. We expect to see the doubling period to continue to shrink raising the possibility of sea levels rising a foot/year by 2050. Though the rate of change in climate disasters' intensity, duration, and likelihood vary according to the type of extreme weather, a "rule-of-thumb" can be derived from the Canada wildfires of 2023. The World Weather Attribution Organization found, "Climate change made the cumulative severity of Quebec's 2023 fire season to the end of July around 50% more intense, and seasons of this severity at least seven times more likely to occur."

50% more intense
7 x more likely

These numbers may be similar in other catastrophes like hurricanes, heat waves, droughts, floods, tornadoes, and sea level rise. If the doubling time remains at 10 years, we could see extreme events 100% more intense and/or longer in duration, as well as, 14 times more likely to occur. As mentioned above, we expect the doubling time to be reduced. If the doubling time is 5 years, in ten years we could see 200% more intense and longer extreme weather events being 28 times more likely to occur.

How to go net zero now. Free and easy. Save thousands. Save the planet.

Turning Water Into Electricity